6 picks our expert loves

Welcome to our weekly PGA Tour gambling-tips column, that includes picks from GOLF.com’s knowledgeable prognosticator Brady Kannon. A seasoned golf bettor and commentator, Kannon is an everyday visitor on SportsGrid, a syndicated audio community dedicated to sports activities and sport betting. You’ll be able to comply with on Twitter at @LasVegasGolfer, and you’ll learn his picks under for the Arnold Palmer Invitational, which will get underway Thursday in Orlando, Fla. Together with Kannon’s really helpful performs, you’ll additionally see knowledge from Chirp, a free-to-play mobile platform that incorporates a vary of video games with engaging prizes, giving followers all types of the way to have interaction within the motion with out risking any cash.

We have now reached the Tenth event of the 2024 PGA Tour schedule and with it, the fourth Signature Occasion of the younger season. Sixty-nine players are within the restricted subject traditional that’s the Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill Nation Membership and Lodge in Orlando, Florida.

Bay Hill is a par 72 that stretches out to almost 7,500 yards. As we noticed final week in Palm Seaside Gardens, water, sand, and wind are the first hazards that this week’s check will current. The forecast this week seems fairly typical for Florida: an occasional bathe, temperatures within the low 80s, and winds wherever from 10-15 mph. Breezes and gusts of wherever from 12-20 mph are the place we begin to see a golf ball affected, so it seems like that can undoubtedly be part of the equation at occasions throughout this event.

The rain might soften this golf course considerably nevertheless it may additionally make an already thick tough, play much more tough. The bigger, comparatively flat Bermudagrass greens listed below are sometimes agency and quick. Even somewhat rain shouldn’t alter that an excessive amount of.

Because it was final week, Ball-Putting is once more my main focus for the Arnold Palmer Invitational. Particularly, I checked out Driving Distance and SG: Off the Tee, or Whole Driving in a way. I additionally checked out SG: Strategy and Greens in Regulation Gained and Gap Proximity from 175-200+ yards. Bay Hill, together with the par 3s, presents gamers with extra 200+ yard method photographs than another course on the PGA Tour rotation. Lastly, I additionally thought of Bogey Avoidance and Scrambling.

Different golf programs we see commonly the place Whole Driving and Ball Putting are at a premium (and thus make for good comps to Bay Hill) are as follows: TPC Scottsdale, Congaree in South Carolina, Olympia Fields, Southern Hills (the place the 2022 PGA Championship was staged), Oak Hill (the place the PGA Championship was performed final 12 months), Quail Hole, and Memorial Park in Houston.

Throw that each one into the combination, and listed below are six gamers I landed on for an outright win plus a Prime 20 end. 

Viktor Hovland (17-1)

After ending 2023 on a tear, Hovland has but to seek out that groove once more to this point in 2024, however he did present some indicators a couple of weeks in the past in Los Angeles on the Genesis Invitational the place he completed nineteenth. This week, nevertheless, is an ideal place for him to seek out one other gear. He meets the entire standards as top-of-the-line drivers, ball-strikers, and long-iron gamers on the planet. He’s completed Tenth and runner-up right here at Bay Hill beforehand, was runner-up at Oak Hill, gained at Olympia Fields final summer season, and has completed third at Quail Hole. 

Sam Burns (26-1)

This will probably be Burns’ seventh time taking part in Bay Hill, together with his finest end being ninth. He has completed third and sixth in Phoenix, seventh at Congaree, fifteenth at Olympia Fields, and seventh twice on the Houston Open. He doesn’t match the profile for me as strongly as Hovland does however I can’t ignore the truth that Burns is available in having recorded 4 top-10 finishes in a row this season on Tour — and he’s top-of-the-line putters on Bermudagrass.

Cam Younger (30-1)

Younger suits somewhat little bit of each so far as course profile and present kind. He was eighth in Phoenix, sixteenth at Riviera, and completed fourth final week on the Cognizant Basic within the Palm Seashores. During the last 24 rounds, Younger is fifth for SG: Off the Tee, seventeenth in Greens in Regulation Gained, and ranks within the top-10 on this subject for Gap Proximity from 175-200+ yards. He’s completed Tenth and thirteenth right here at Bay Hill and was third at Southern Hills on the 2022 PGA Championship.

Matt Fitzpatrick (32-1)

U.S. Open winners are virtually at all times distinctive ballstrikers and Fitzpatrick has had unbelievable success on the correlated programs I used this week. He’s completed ninth and 14th right here at Bay Hill, fifteenth and Tenth at TPC Scottsdale, Tenth and thirteenth at Congaree, fifth at Southern Hills, and sixth and runner-up at Olympia Fields. He comes off a Twenty first-place end final week at PGA Nationwide and over the past 24 rounds, ranks eighth on this subject for Gap Proximity from 175-200 yards and twenty third for SG: Placing (Bermudagrass).

Tommy Fleetwood (32-1)

The Englishman is available in off of a Tenth-place end on the Genesis Invitational and has three top-10 finishes right here at Bay Hill. He has a fourth-place end at Congaree, a fifth at each Southern Hills and Quail Hole, and was 18th at Oak Hill finally 12 months’s PGA Championship. He’s top-of-the-line gamers on this subject on tough golf programs and ranks fifteenth in Gap Proximity from 200+ yards over the past 24 rounds.

Keegan Bradley (55-1)

We’re diving somewhat deeper down the board with this one however Bradley matches the profile we’re searching for right here as a profession ball-striker, total-driver, long-iron sort participant. All of that has proven up at Bay Hill, the place he has recorded two Tenth-place finishes, an eleventh, a 3rd, and a runner-up in his profession. During the last 24 rounds, Bradley ranks twenty eighth on this subject for Greens in Regulation Gained, twenty second for Driving Distance, and nineteenth in Gap Proximity from 200+ yards.

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